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How President Obama May Reshape the Entire VC Industry

 
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The Obama administration has proposed new taxation methods that could ultimately change the way venture capitalists do business.  The new proposal introduces a tax to “carried interest,” or the stock shares that a VC firm takes as part of their earned income from their investment. 

 

The Details of the New VC Taxation Plan

 

Currently, a VC firm’s carried income is considered capital gains and is taxed at the capital gains rate of 15%.  But with the new proposal, the capital gains from carried interest may be taxed at the regular income tax rate of about 35%.

 

The new tax procedure has been introduced to help raise about $7 billion in additional revenue from VC firms, real estate partnerships, and other financial industry players.  However, venture capitalists argue that a new higher tax rate on carried interest will result in fewer investments made to new and startup companies.

 

The new tax wouldn’t be placed into effect until 2011 or 2012, and there is still time before the final details are confirmed. 

 

Could Venture Capital Firms Invest in Fewer Companies? 

 

However, if the new tax method does go into effect at the regular income tax rate, this means venture capital firms will be taxed double or more than what they are currently.  And considering that much of a VC’s income or return on investment is through carried interest in stock holdings in a company, it could mean big changes in how they form their exit plans.

 

Indeed, one possibility is that venture capitalists might start investing in fewer companies.  This could be a big detriment to the economy.  Figures provided by a Global Insight study shows that venture backed capital companies contribute over 17% to the national GPS and employ over 9% of private sector employees.  If there are fewer venture backed companies, this means fewer companies would have the means to expand and grow, thus causing a shift in employment numbers and the overall economic strength to the economy.

 

How Could the Tax Law Impact the Entrepreneur? 

 

VCs could also begin investing less into each new company.  That means it will be more difficult for startups and newer existing businesses to reach the growth potential since there will be fewer dollars to utilize.  Growth requires capital for expanding production equipment, employees, and aggressive marketing costs.  Without the money for these important growth factors, a business will either have to change its growth estimates or search for capital in other more difficult avenues – especially in today’s tight credit markets. 

 

In a more dire prediction, more small businesses could fail without the support of venture capital.  If the tax change is passed, we could see a drop in startups and particularly in innovative new businesses and business models, as venture capital firms will invest more in companies with an already proven business model.  Given that their tax responsibilities will be higher, the firms may look to offset their lower profitability margins by reducing their risk.   

 

These are just speculations as to how the VC industry may react to a new taxation method.  Ultimately, venture capital firms may just have to bite the proverbial bullet and accept the new tax as a regular part of their business income and little change will be felt by the entrepreneur on the investment side. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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