How Accurate Should Your Financial Projections Be?
Tuesday, March 24th, 2009Within your business plan is an important set of projected financial documents about your company’s future revenues. But who can really tell the future? Just how accurate should you make your financial projections in order to impress a potential venture capital firm? The answer may surprise you.
Which Financials Venture Capitalists Care About
The fact is that VC groups are not concerned with your short term financial gain. Though this may seem contradictory to a VC firm’s strategy to make money, the fact is that investors are more interested in a small business’ future shareholder value rather than the short term profit potential.
Venture capitalists make money at the exit point in an investment, or when it’s time to “cash out” of their part of the deal. In many cases, this is the point when a business goes public on the stock market with an IPO, or when the business is purchased by a larger entity.
To that effect, venture capital firms will invest in companies with high-growth potential, where larger profits down the road translate into greater shareholder value after the infusion of Venture capital. A capital investment from a VC group into a small business is mainly used to grow the company with the purchase of additional equipment, marketing, and skilled workers. If the small business does see even small positive revenues in the early years, it is expected that the business will re-invest in additional capital development and stimulate further growth.
What to Include in Your Financial Projects
Therefore, knowing that your future revenue projections are nothing more than an educated guess, venture capitalists will always take that into consideration. However, that doesn’t mean that you should skimp on the effort to produce well-formed opinions about your company’s expected revenues. You still need to make the effort to show expected revenues and expenses based on previous experience, or if your company is new, on the past experience of similar companies in your industry.
A VC firm will be looking at three things with your financial projections:
- They want to know that you have made reasonable assumptions. Your assumptions in your revenue growth will help a VC firm establish whether your company can become a rapid-growth company, or if it will take some time before larger returns are noted.
- The financial math is important as well. Your revenue growth percentage and other financial ratios, such as your liquidity, profitability, and debt ratios, will provide the VC firm with additional confidence in a potential investment. Make sure these numbers are solid.
- And finally, VC firms want to know your strategic plan for growth and how you will build your company. If your strategies are solid, you could be rewarded with capital investment from a VC firm.
Though you can only make guesses about the future, be prepared to show educated projections and be ready to discuss key financial issues with a VC firm. With solid math behind the numbers and a good strategy, you could make your predictions a reality.









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